← NFL board9 straight under
Saquon Barkley
PHI vs DAL · Mon 8:15 PM ETReceiving Yards · 14.5 at PrizePicks ·
70Signal · under 14.590% · 9 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 10Cleared the number in 1 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.8 a game recently
- vs DAL · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 2.0 yds against 14.5 · over 12%, under 88%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 14.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -37 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | DAL | 52 over | +37.5 |
| 2025-11-28 | CHI | 0 under | −14.5 |
| 2025-12-08 | LAC | 0 under | −14.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LV | 14 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | WAS | 0 under | −14.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | BUF | 0 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | WAS | -3 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TEN | 11 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | CHI | -2 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LA | 2 under | −12.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 9 / 10 | 90% under | +7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 90% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
14.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | vs LA | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-28 | @ CHI | -2 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TEN | 11 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs WAS | -3 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs LV | 14 | under |
| 2025-12-08 | @ LAC | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-28 | vs CHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ DAL | 52 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs DET | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-10 | @ GB | 41 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs NYG | 24 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ MIN | -2 | under |
| 2025-10-09 | @ NYG | 9 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs DEN | 58 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ TB | 31 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs LA | 9 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ KC | 6 | under |
| 2025-09-04 | vs DAL | 24 | over |