Savion Williams

GB @ NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 21.5 at Underdog ·

52Signal · under 21.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

3 / 10

How the formula reads this game

targets: 3.0 a game recently
vs NE · ×0.99 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 27.7 yds against 21.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.

Last 10 games against 21.5 · Oct 12, 2025 – Oct 29, 2026

Worst miss -25 on the under

Each game against 21.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-10-12	CIN	0 under	−21.5
2025-10-26	PIT	8 under	−13.5
2025-11-02	CAR	12 under	−9.5
2025-11-10	PHI	2 under	−19.5
2025-11-16	NYG	33 over	+11.5
2025-11-23	MIN	0 under	−21.5
2025-12-20	CHI	0 under	−21.5
2026-10-18	DAL	32 over	+10.5
2026-10-25	DET	47 over	+25.5
2026-10-29	CAR	5 under	−16.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	7 / 10	70% under	+8
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

21.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 21.5
2026-10-29	vs CAR	5	under
2026-10-25	@ DET	47	over
2026-10-18	vs DAL	32	over
2025-12-20	@ CHI	0	under
2025-11-23	vs MIN	0	under
2025-11-16	@ NYG	33	over
2025-11-10	vs PHI	2	under
2025-11-02	vs CAR	12	under
2025-10-26	@ PIT	8	under
2025-10-12	vs CIN	0	under
2025-09-28	@ DAL	22	over
2025-09-21	@ CLE	0	under
2025-09-11	vs WAS	0	under
2025-09-07	vs DET	1	under