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Shedeur Sanders
CLE @ NO · Sun 1:00 PM ETPassing Yards · 193.5 at DraftKings · median 194.5 ·
70Signal · under 193.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 18.2 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 114.8 yds against 193.5 · over 29%, under 71%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 193.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -170 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | BAL | 47 under | −146.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | LV | 209 over | +15.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | SF | 149 under | −44.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | TEN | 364 over | +170.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CHI | 177 under | −16.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BUF | 157 under | −36.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | PIT | 186 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CIN | 111 under | −82.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 0 under | −193.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | PIT | 2 under | −191.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +53 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
6 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 196.5
- DraftKings 193.5
- Hard Rock Bet 194.5
- Fliff 194.5
- FanDuel 196.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 196.5 (easiest number)
- Underdog 196.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 184.5 to 196.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 193.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ PIT | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CIN | 111 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs PIT | 186 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs BUF | 157 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CHI | 177 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs TEN | 364 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs SF | 149 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LV | 209 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs BAL | 47 | under |