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Shedeur Sanders
CLE @ NO · Sun 1:00 PM ETPassing Yards · 196.5 at Underdog · median 194.5 ·
70Signal · under 196.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 18.2 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 114.8 yds against 196.5 · over 28%, under 72%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 196.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -167 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | BAL | 47 under | −149.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | LV | 209 over | +12.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | SF | 149 under | −47.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | TEN | 364 over | +167.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CHI | 177 under | −19.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BUF | 157 under | −39.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | PIT | 186 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CIN | 111 under | −85.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 0 under | −196.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | PIT | 2 under | −194.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +56 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
6 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 196.5
- DraftKings 193.5
- Hard Rock Bet 194.5
- Fliff 194.5
- FanDuel 196.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 196.5 (easiest number)
- Underdog 196.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 184.5 to 196.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 196.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ PIT | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CIN | 111 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs PIT | 186 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs BUF | 157 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CHI | 177 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs TEN | 364 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs SF | 149 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LV | 209 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs BAL | 47 | under |