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Travis Homer
PIT @ CLE · Thu 8:15 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 9.5 ·
69Signal · under 9.567% · 2 / 3 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 3Cleared the number in 1 of 3 games, 7 without a result
Underdog 9.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 1.4 a game recently
- targets: 0.0 a game recently
- vs CLE · ×1.03 yds per carry
- vs CLE · ×0.97 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 6.2 yds against 9.5 · over 31%, under 69%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 9.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Sep 27, 2026
Worst miss -6 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN | -2 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 16 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CIN | 0 under | −9.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | |||
| Last 10 | 2 / 3 | 67% under | +5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | |||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | |||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | |||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Book Range
9.5Underdog· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | vs CIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 16 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ MIN | -2 | under |