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Aaron Rodgers
PIT @ NO · Sun 9:30 AM ETPassing TDs · 1.5 · median of 11 books ·
51Signal · under 1.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 38.8 a game recently
Expected passing tds: 2.0 against 1.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 15, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | MIA | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DET | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CLE | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | BAL | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CIN | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | IND | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TB | 2 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +0.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
1.511 books, no line disagreementMGM · BB · PX2 · BR · FD · FL · HR · DK · ESPN · FAN · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ TB | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs IND | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-01 | @ CLE | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CIN | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ATL | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs BAL | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CLE | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DET | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-15 | vs MIA | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BAL | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ LAC | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs IND | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs GB | 2 | over |
| 2025-10-16 | @ CIN | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CLE | 2 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs MIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ NE | 2 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SEA | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NYJ | 4 | over |