← NFL board

Travis Homer

PIT @ CLE · Thu 8:15 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 6.5 · median of 10 books ·

58Signal · under 6.567% · 2 / 3 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 3Cleared the number in 1 of 3 games, 7 without a result

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 1.4 a game recently
  • vs CLE · ×1.03 yds per carry

Expected rushing yards: 6.2 yds against 6.5 · over 42%, under 58%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 6.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Sep 27, 2026

Worst miss -9 on the under
6.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-11-16 at MIN: -2, under 6.5 by 8.5 yds-2MIN2026-09-20 at NE: 16, over 6.5 by 9.5 yds16NE2026-09-27 vs CIN: 0, under 6.5 by 6.5 yds0CIN
Each game against 6.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-11-16MIN-2 under−8.5
2026-09-20NE16 over+9.5
2026-09-27CIN0 under−6.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)
Last 102 / 367% under+2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)
Away (with DPB Pro)

See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.

Book Range

6.510 books, no line disagreementFD · PX2 · BR · BB · DK · HR · FL · PK6 · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 6.5
2026-09-27vs CIN0under
2026-09-20@ NE16over
2025-11-16@ MIN-2under