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Wan'Dale Robinson
TEN @ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 5.5 at DK Pick6 ·
55Signal · under 5.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
- Carnell Tate WR is listed Out (shoulder). He had 26% of TEN's targets this season, 7.3 a game over 7.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.1 a game recently → 7.6 this game
- Tate out · +1.5 targets (20% of his 7.3)
Expected receptions: 5.1 against 5.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 5.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -5.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | WAS | 5 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN | 3 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | LV | 11 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYJ | 5 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PHI | 1 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYG | 7 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BAL | 3 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | HOU | 6 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | IND | 3 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | CLE | 4 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +0.7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
5.510 books, no line disagreementESPN · DK · PX2 · BR · HR · FD · BB · PK6 · PP · UD
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 4.5 to 5.5
- betPARXMoved from 4.5 to 5.5
- BetRiversMoved from 4.5 to 5.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 3.5 to 5.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 4.5 to 5.5
- FanDuelMoved from 4.5 to 5.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 3.5 to 5.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 4.5 to 5.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs CLE | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ IND | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs HOU | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BAL | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NYG | 7 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PHI | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NYJ | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ LV | 11 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs MIN | 3 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs WAS | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-01 | @ NE | 7 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ DET | 9 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs GB | 4 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CHI | 6 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs SF | 9 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PHI | 3 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ DEN | 6 | over |
| 2025-10-09 | vs PHI | 6 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NO | 5 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs LAC | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs KC | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DAL | 8 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ WAS | 6 | over |