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Zach Charbonnet
SEA vs CHI · Mon 8:20 PM ETRushing Yards · 32.5 at DraftKings ·
51Signal · over 32.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 11.3 a game recently
- vs CHI · ×1.01 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 52.8 yds against 32.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 0 this season.
Last 10 games against 32.5 · Nov 2, 2025 – Jan 3, 2026
Worst miss -7| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | WAS | 25 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | ARI | 83 over | +50.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | LA | 37 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | TEN | 35 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | MIN | 52 over | +19.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | ATL | 46 over | +13.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | IND | 31 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | LA | 32 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR | 110 over | +77.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | SF | 74 over | +41.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +20 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
7 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 32.5 · best price DK -113
- DraftKings 32.5 -113 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- FanDuel 32.5 -114 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 32.5 -115 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 32.5 (easiest number)
- ESPN Bet 33.5 -105
- Fliff 33.5 -120
- BetMGM 35.5 -111
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 32.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | @ SF | 74 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CAR | 110 | over |
| 2025-12-18 | vs LA | 32 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs IND | 31 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ATL | 46 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs MIN | 52 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ TEN | 35 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ LA | 37 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | 83 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ WAS | 25 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs HOU | 49 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ JAX | 24 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TB | 36 | over |
| 2025-09-25 | @ ARI | 39 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ PIT | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs SF | 47 | over |