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Bijan Robinson
ATL vs SF · Sun 1:00 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 111.5 at betPARX · median 114.5 ·
48Signal · over 111.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 18.5 a game recently
- targets: 4.5 a game recently
- vs SF · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 131.1 yds against 111.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 111.5 · Dec 11, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -68| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | TB | 175 over | +63.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | ARI | 168 over | +56.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | LA | 229 over | +117.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NO | 43 under | −68.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | PIT | 173 over | +61.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR | 81 under | −30.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | GB | 213 over | +101.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | NO | 147 over | +35.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | BAL | 118 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | CHI | 53 under | −58.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +29 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
9 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 111.5 · best price BB, PX2 -114
- Bally Bet 111.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- betPARX 111.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetRivers 111.5 -115 (easiest number)
- Fliff 113.5 -120
- DraftKings 114.5 -113
- BetMGM 114.5 -115
- FanDuel 114.5 -115
- Hard Rock Bet 114.5 -115
- PrizePicks 114.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 112.5 to 114.5
- FanDuelMoved from 113.5 to 114.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 113.5 to 114.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 112.5 to 114.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 111.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs CHI | 53 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs BAL | 118 | over |
| 2026-10-05 | @ NO | 147 | over |
| 2026-09-24 | @ GB | 213 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CAR | 81 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ PIT | 173 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs NO | 43 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | vs LA | 229 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ ARI | 168 | over |
| 2025-12-11 | @ TB | 175 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs SEA | 94 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ NYJ | 193 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ NO | 107 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CAR | 143 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ IND | 88 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ NE | 96 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs MIA | 48 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ SF | 92 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | vs BUF | 238 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs WAS | 181 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CAR | 111 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIN | 168 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs TB | 124 | over |