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Bijan Robinson
ATL vs SF · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 82.5 at BetMGM ·
49Signal · over 82.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 18.5 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 106.8 yds against 82.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 82.5 · Dec 11, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -49| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | TB | 93 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | ARI | 76 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | LA | 195 over | +112.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NO | 33 under | −49.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | PIT | 83 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR | 72 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | GB | 194 over | +111.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | NO | 145 over | +62.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | BAL | 86 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | CHI | 61 under | −21.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +21 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 82.5 · best price PX2 -113
- betPARX 82.5 -113 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetRivers 82.5 -114 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 82.5 -115 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 82.5 -118 (easiest number)
- Fliff 82.5 -120 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 82.5 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 83.5 -110
- FanDuel 83.5 -114
- Hard Rock Bet 83.5 -115
- ESPN Bet 84.5 -105
Line movement
- FliffMoved from 84.5 to 82.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs CHI | 61 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs BAL | 86 | over |
| 2026-10-05 | @ NO | 145 | over |
| 2026-09-24 | @ GB | 194 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CAR | 72 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ PIT | 83 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs NO | 33 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | vs LA | 195 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ ARI | 76 | under |
| 2025-12-11 | @ TB | 93 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs SEA | 86 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ NYJ | 142 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ NO | 70 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CAR | 104 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ IND | 84 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ NE | 46 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs MIA | 25 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ SF | 40 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | vs BUF | 170 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs WAS | 75 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CAR | 72 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIN | 143 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs TB | 24 | under |