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Caleb Williams
CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ETPassing Yards · 244.5 · median of 12 books ·
60%under6 / 10 · last 10
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 30.3 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 237.3 yds against 244.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 244.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -85 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | PIT | 239 under | −5.5 |
| 2025-11-28 | PHI | 154 under | −90.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | GB | 186 under | −58.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CLE | 242 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | GB | 250 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SF | 330 over | +85.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DET | 212 under | −32.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR | 269 over | +24.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 138 under | −106.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ATL | 305 over | +60.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +12 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
12 books · 7 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 247.5
- Fanatics 240.5
- Bally Bet 242.5
- betPARX 242.5
- BetRivers 242.5
- FanDuel 243.5
- ESPN Bet 244.5
- PrizePicks 244.5
- BetMGM 246.5
- Fliff 246.5
- DraftKings 247.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 247.5 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 247.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 247.5 to 242.5
- betPARXMoved from 247.5 to 242.5
- BetRiversMoved from 247.5 to 242.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 249.5 to 244.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 241.5 to 244.5
- BetMGMMoved from 241.5 to 246.5
- FliffMoved from 247.5 to 246.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 241.5 to 247.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 240.5 to 247.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 248.5 to 247.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 244.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ ATL | 305 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 138 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CAR | 269 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs DET | 212 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ SF | 330 | over |
| 2025-12-20 | vs GB | 250 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CLE | 242 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ GB | 186 | under |
| 2025-11-28 | @ PHI | 154 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PIT | 239 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ MIN | 193 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NYG | 220 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ CIN | 280 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ BAL | 285 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NO | 172 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | @ WAS | 252 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ LV | 212 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DAL | 298 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DET | 207 | under |
| 2025-09-08 | vs MIN | 210 | under |