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Caleb Williams
CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ETPassing Yards · 240.5 at Fanatics · median 244.5 ·
50%even5 / 10 · last 10
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 30.3 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 237.3 yds against 240.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 240.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -102| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | PIT | 239 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-11-28 | PHI | 154 under | −86.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | GB | 186 under | −54.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CLE | 242 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | GB | 250 over | +9.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SF | 330 over | +89.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DET | 212 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR | 269 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 138 under | −102.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ATL | 305 over | +64.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -8 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
12 books · 7 yds spread
- Fanatics 240.5
- Bally Bet 242.5
- betPARX 242.5
- BetRivers 242.5
- FanDuel 243.5
- ESPN Bet 244.5
- PrizePicks 244.5
- BetMGM 246.5
- Fliff 246.5
- DraftKings 247.5
- Hard Rock Bet 247.5
- DK Pick6 247.5
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 247.5 to 242.5
- betPARXMoved from 247.5 to 242.5
- BetRiversMoved from 247.5 to 242.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 249.5 to 244.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 241.5 to 244.5
- BetMGMMoved from 241.5 to 246.5
- FliffMoved from 247.5 to 246.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 241.5 to 247.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 240.5 to 247.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 248.5 to 247.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 240.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ ATL | 305 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 138 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CAR | 269 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs DET | 212 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ SF | 330 | over |
| 2025-12-20 | vs GB | 250 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CLE | 242 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ GB | 186 | under |
| 2025-11-28 | @ PHI | 154 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PIT | 239 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ MIN | 193 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NYG | 220 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ CIN | 280 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ BAL | 285 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NO | 172 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | @ WAS | 252 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ LV | 212 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DAL | 298 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DET | 207 | under |
| 2025-09-08 | vs MIN | 210 | under |