← NFL board3 straight under
Carson Wentz
MIN vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ETCompletions · 19.5 at DraftKings ·
57Signal · under 19.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 7Cleared the number in 3 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 27.4 a game recently
Expected completions: 17.3 against 19.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 19.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026
Worst miss -10.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-21 | CIN | 14 under | −5.5 |
| 2025-09-28 | PIT | 30 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | CLE | 25 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | PHI | 26 over | +6.5 |
| 2025-10-23 | LAC | 15 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | GB | 12 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI | 11 under | −8.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 7 | 57% under | +0.5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 57% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
19.510 books, no line disagreementMGM · PX2 · BR · ESPN · BB · DK · HR · FL · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 19.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | @ CHI | 11 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs GB | 12 | under |
| 2025-10-23 | @ LAC | 15 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs PHI | 26 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CLE | 25 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ PIT | 30 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs CIN | 14 | under |