Carson Wentz

MIN vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 29.5 at BetMGM · median 30.5 ·

56Signal · under 29.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance

3 / 7

3 straight under

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 27.4 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 27.4 against 29.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 29.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026

Worst miss -16.5 on the under

Each game against 29.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
2025-09-21	CIN	20 under	−9.5
2025-09-28	PIT	46 over	+16.5
2025-10-05	CLE	34 over	+4.5
2025-10-19	PHI	42 over	+12.5
2025-10-23	LAC	27 under	−2.5
2026-09-13	GB	19 under	−10.5
2026-09-20	CHI	20 under	−9.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	4 / 7	57% under	-0.2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 57% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

9 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 30.5

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 29.5
2026-09-20	@ CHI	20	under
2026-09-13	vs GB	19	under
2025-10-23	@ LAC	27	under
2025-10-19	vs PHI	42	over
2025-10-05	@ CLE	34	over
2025-09-28	@ PIT	46	over
2025-09-21	vs CIN	20	under