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Carson Wentz
MIN vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ETPassing TDs · 1.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
55Signal · under 1.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 7Cleared the number in 3 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 27.4 a game recently
Expected passing tds: 1.3 against 1.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026
Worst miss -1.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-21 | CIN | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-09-28 | PIT | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | CLE | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | PHI | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-10-23 | LAC | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | GB | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI | 0 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 7 | 57% under | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 57% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
1.58 books, no line disagreementESPN · DK · BB · PX2 · BR · HR · FL · FD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | @ CHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs GB | 3 | over |
| 2025-10-23 | @ LAC | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CLE | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ PIT | 2 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs CIN | 2 | over |