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Carson Wentz

MIN vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 7.5 at FanDuel ·

55Signal · under 7.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 7Cleared the number in 3 of 7 games, 3 without a result
3 straight under

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 3.0 a game recently

Expected rushing yards: 7.4 yds against 7.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 7.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026

Worst miss -20 on the under
7.5No resultNo resultNo result2025-09-21 vs CIN: 4, under 7.5 by 3.5 yds4CIN2025-09-28 at PIT: 12, over 7.5 by 4.5 yds12PIT2025-10-05 at CLE: 13, over 7.5 by 5.5 yds13CLE2025-10-19 vs PHI: 28, over 7.5 by 20.5 yds28PHI2025-10-23 at LAC: 0, under 7.5 by 7.5 yds0LAC2026-09-13 vs GB: -1, under 7.5 by 8.5 yds-1GB2026-09-20 at CHI: 6, under 7.5 by 1.5 yds6CHI
Each game against 7.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-09-21CIN4 under−3.5
2025-09-28PIT12 over+4.5
2025-10-05CLE13 over+5.5
2025-10-19PHI28 over+20.5
2025-10-23LAC0 under−7.5
2026-09-13GB-1 under−8.5
2026-09-20CHI6 under−1.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 104 / 757% under-1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 57% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

7.59 books, no line disagreementFD · HR · PX2 · DK · BR · FL · BB · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 7.5
2026-09-20@ CHI6under
2026-09-13vs GB-1under
2025-10-23@ LAC0under
2025-10-19vs PHI28over
2025-10-05@ CLE13over
2025-09-28@ PIT12over
2025-09-21vs CIN4under