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Colston Loveland
CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ETReceiving Yards · 44.5 at Fliff ·
50%even5 / 10 · last 10
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.0 a game recently
- vs NE · ×0.95 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 27.7 yds against 44.5 · over 38%, under 62%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 44.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -44| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CLE | 63 over | +18.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | GB | 30 under | −14.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SF | 94 over | +49.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DET | 91 over | +46.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR | 0 under | −44.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 3 under | −41.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | PHI | 31 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ | 57 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | GB | 19 under | −25.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ATL | 65 over | +20.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 2 yds spread
- betPARX 42.5
- BetRivers 42.5
- Bally Bet 42.5
- ESPN Bet 42.5
- FanDuel 43.5
- DraftKings 44.5
- BetMGM 44.5
- Hard Rock Bet 44.5
- Fliff 44.5
- DK Pick6 44.5
- PrizePicks 44.5
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 43.5 to 42.5
- betPARXMoved from 43.5 to 42.5
- BetRiversMoved from 43.5 to 42.5
- FanDuelMoved from 40.5 to 43.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 41.5 to 44.5
- FliffMoved from 43.5 to 44.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 40.5 to 44.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 43.5 to 44.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 40.5 to 44.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 44.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ ATL | 65 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ GB | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NYJ | 57 | over |
| 2026-09-28 | vs PHI | 31 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs DET | 91 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ SF | 94 | over |
| 2025-12-20 | vs GB | 30 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CLE | 63 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ GB | 29 | under |
| 2025-11-28 | @ PHI | 28 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PIT | 49 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ MIN | 40 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NYG | 55 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ CIN | 118 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ BAL | 38 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NO | 24 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | @ WAS | 11 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DAL | 31 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DET | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-08 | vs MIN | 12 | under |