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Drake London
ATL vs SF · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 81.5 at betPARX · median 82.5 ·
53Signal · under 81.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 7.7 a game recently
- vs SF · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 92.4 yds against 81.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 81.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -112 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | CAR | 119 over | +37.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | ARI | 27 under | −54.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | LA | 4 under | −77.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NO | 78 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | PIT | 29 under | −52.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR | 51 under | −30.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | GB | 194 over | +112.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | NO | 96 over | +14.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | BAL | 118 over | +36.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | CHI | 62 under | −19.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 5 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 84.5
- BetMGM 79.5
- betPARX 81.5
- BetRivers 81.5
- Bally Bet 81.5
- FanDuel 82.5
- Fliff 82.5
- PrizePicks 82.5
- Hard Rock Bet 83.5
- DraftKings 84.5 (easiest number)
- ESPN Bet 84.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- FanDuelMoved from 76.5 to 82.5
- FliffMoved from 77.5 to 82.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 84.5 to 82.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 76.5 to 83.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 76.5 to 84.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs CHI | 62 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs BAL | 118 | over |
| 2026-10-05 | @ NO | 96 | over |
| 2026-09-24 | @ GB | 194 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CAR | 51 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ PIT | 29 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs NO | 78 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | vs LA | 4 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ ARI | 27 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CAR | 119 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ IND | 104 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ NE | 118 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ SF | 42 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | vs BUF | 158 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs WAS | 110 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CAR | 55 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIN | 49 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs TB | 55 | under |