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Drew Lock
SEA vs ARI · Sun 4:25 PM ETPass Attempts · 28.5 at ESPN Bet ·
70Signal · under 28.5100% · 5 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
0 / 5Cleared the number in 0 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 14.1 a game recently
Expected pass attempts: 14.1 against 28.5 · over 28%, under 72%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 28.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026
Tightest clearance +2.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-21 | NO | 3 under | −25.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | ARI | 0 under | −28.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | ATL | 0 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | NE | 22 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI | 26 under | −2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 5 | 100% under | +18.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 29.5
- BetMGM 28.5
- ESPN Bet 28.5
- Hard Rock Bet 28.5
- DraftKings 28.5
- Fliff 28.5
- PrizePicks 28.5
- Underdog 28.5
- betPARX 29.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 29.5 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 29.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 28.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | @ ARI | 26 | under |
| 2026-09-09 | vs NE | 22 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 3 | under |