← NFL board
Drew Lock
SEA vs ARI · Sun 4:25 PM ETPassing TDs · 1.5 at Underdog ·
57Signal · under 1.580% · 4 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 5Cleared the number in 1 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 14.1 a game recently
Expected passing tds: 1.1 against 1.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026
Worst miss -1.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-21 | NO | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | ARI | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | ATL | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | NE | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI | 3 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 5 | 80% under | +0.7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
1.512 books, no line disagreementBB · PX2 · BR · FD · MGM · DK · ESPN · HR · FL · PK6 · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | @ ARI | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-09 | vs NE | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 0 | under |