← NFL board4 straight over
Emanuel Wilson
SEA vs CHI · Mon 8:20 PM ETRushing Yards · 19.5 at DraftKings ·
59Signal · over 19.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 15.9 a game recently
- vs CHI · ×1.01 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 58.4 yds against 19.5 · over 59%, under 41%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 19.5 · Dec 20, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -16| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | CHI | 82 over | +62.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | BAL | 16 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIN | 44 over | +24.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | NE | 3 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI | 92 over | +72.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | WAS | 14 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LAC | 81 over | +61.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | SF | 61 over | +41.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | DEN | 52 over | +32.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | KC | 100 over | +80.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +35 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
7 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 18.5 · best price FD -114
- FanDuel 18.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- Hard Rock Bet 18.5 -115 (easiest number)
- Fliff 18.5 -125 (easiest number)
- ESPN Bet 19.5 -105
- DraftKings 19.5 -110
- PrizePicks 19.5
- Underdog 19.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 19.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs KC | 100 | over |
| 2026-10-15 | @ DEN | 52 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs SF | 61 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs LAC | 81 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ WAS | 14 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ARI | 92 | over |
| 2026-09-09 | vs NE | 3 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ MIN | 44 | over |
| 2025-12-27 | vs BAL | 16 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ CHI | 82 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DEN | 3 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CHI | 10 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DET | 14 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs MIN | 107 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ NYG | 40 | over |
| 2025-11-10 | vs PHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 16 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 61 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 11 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 44 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 25 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 4 | under |