← NFL board5 straight under
Gardner Minshew
ARI @ SEA · Sun 4:25 PM ETPass Attempts · 34.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
70Signal · under 34.5100% · 5 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
0 / 5Cleared the number in 0 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 9.8 a game recently
Expected pass attempts: 9.8 against 34.5 · over 13%, under 87%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 1 this season.
Last 10 games against 34.5 · Sep 28, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026
Tightest clearance +11.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-28 | BAL | 0 under | −34.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | LV | 0 under | −34.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LAC | 5 under | −29.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TEN | 8 under | −26.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | DAL | 23 under | −11.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 5 | 100% under | +27.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
34.59 books, no line disagreementPX2 · DK · FAN · FL · HR · BB · PK6 · PP · UD
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 32.5 to 34.5
- UnderdogMoved from 32.5 to 34.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 34.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ DAL | 23 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ TEN | 8 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs LAC | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs LV | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs BAL | 0 | under |