← NFL board5 straight under
Gardner Minshew
ARI @ SEA · Sun 4:25 PM ETPassing Yards · 197.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
70Signal · under 197.5100% · 5 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
0 / 5Cleared the number in 0 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 9.8 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 68.8 yds against 197.5 · over 7%, under 93%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 1 this season.
Last 10 games against 197.5 · Sep 28, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026
Tightest clearance +10 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-28 | BAL | 0 under | −197.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | LV | 0 under | −197.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LAC | 22 under | −175.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TEN | 15 under | −182.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | DAL | 188 under | −9.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 5 | 100% under | +153 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
12 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 199.5
- Fanatics 195.5
- DraftKings 196.5
- DK Pick6 196.5
- PrizePicks 196.5
- Bally Bet 197.5
- betPARX 197.5
- BetRivers 197.5
- Hard Rock Bet 197.5
- Fliff 197.5
- BetMGM 199.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 199.5 (easiest number)
- Underdog 199.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- FanaticsMoved from 200.5 to 195.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 199.5 to 196.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 195.5 to 196.5
- Bally BetMoved from 201.5 to 197.5
- betPARXMoved from 201.5 to 197.5
- BetRiversMoved from 201.5 to 197.5
- FliffMoved from 200.5 to 197.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 200.5 to 197.5
- FanDuelMoved from 201.5 to 199.5
- UnderdogMoved from 195.5 to 199.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 197.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ DAL | 188 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ TEN | 15 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs LAC | 22 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs LV | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs BAL | 0 | under |