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George Holani
SEA vs KC · Sun 8:20 PM ETReceptions · 1.5 at FanDuel ·
52Signal · under 1.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.0 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.8 against 1.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Oct 15, 2026
Worst miss -3.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | NO | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-11-02 | WAS | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | ARI | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | LA | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | NE | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | WAS | 5 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LAC | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | SF | 4 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | DEN | 0 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
1.56 books, no line disagreementMGM · HR · FD · FL · DK · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | @ DEN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs SF | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs LAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ WAS | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ARI | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-09 | vs NE | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ LA | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 2 | over |