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Jahmyr Gibbs

DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 137.5 at betPARX ·

53Signal · under 137.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 21.0 a game recently
  • targets: 6.8 a game recently
  • vs GB · ×1.01 yds per target

Expected rush + rec yards: 149.8 yds against 137.5 · over 47%, under 53%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 137.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026

Worst miss -69 on the under
137.52025-12-04 vs DAL: 120, under 137.5 by 17.5 yds120DAL2025-12-14 at LA: 58, under 137.5 by 79.5 yds58LA2025-12-21 vs PIT: 68, under 137.5 by 69.5 yds68PIT2025-12-25 at MIN: 64, under 137.5 by 73.5 yds64MIN2026-01-04 at CHI: 113, under 137.5 by 24.5 yds113CHI2026-09-13 vs NO: 186, over 137.5 by 48.5 yds186NO2026-09-17 at BUF: 113, under 137.5 by 24.5 yds113BUF2026-09-27 vs NYJ: 164, over 137.5 by 26.5 yds164NYJ2026-10-04 at CAR: 77, under 137.5 by 60.5 yds77CAR2026-10-11 at ARI: 207, over 137.5 by 69.5 yds207ARI
Each game against 137.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-04DAL120 under−17.5
2025-12-14LA58 under−79.5
2025-12-21PIT68 under−69.5
2025-12-25MIN64 under−73.5
2026-01-04CHI113 under−24.5
2026-09-13NO186 over+48.5
2026-09-17BUF113 under−24.5
2026-09-27NYJ164 over+26.5
2026-10-04CAR77 under−60.5
2026-10-11ARI207 over+69.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 107 / 1070% under+21
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

10 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 139.5
  • DraftKings 135.5
  • PrizePicks 135.5
  • BetMGM 136.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 136.5
  • Bally Bet 137.5
  • betPARX 137.5
  • BetRivers 137.5
  • FanDuel 137.5
  • Fliff 137.5
  • Underdog 139.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

  • UnderdogMoved from 134.5 to 139.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 137.5
2026-10-11@ ARI207over
2026-10-04@ CAR77under
2026-09-27vs NYJ164over
2026-09-17@ BUF113under
2026-09-13vs NO186over
2026-01-04@ CHI113under
2025-12-25@ MIN64under
2025-12-21vs PIT68under
2025-12-14@ LA58under
2025-12-04vs DAL120under
2025-11-27vs GB86under
2025-11-23vs NYG264over
2025-11-16@ PHI146over
2025-11-09@ WAS172over
2025-11-02vs MIN28under
2025-10-20vs TB218over
2025-10-12@ KC65under
2025-10-05@ CIN87under
2025-09-28vs CLE97under
2025-09-22@ BAL99under
2025-09-14vs CHI104under
2025-09-07@ GB50under