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Jahmyr Gibbs
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 135.5 at PrizePicks · median 137.5 ·
53Signal · under 135.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 21.0 a game recently
- targets: 6.8 a game recently
- vs GB · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 149.8 yds against 135.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 135.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -71 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 120 under | −15.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 58 under | −77.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 68 under | −67.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 64 under | −71.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 113 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 186 over | +50.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 113 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 164 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 77 under | −58.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 207 over | +71.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +19 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 139.5
- DraftKings 135.5
- PrizePicks 135.5
- BetMGM 136.5
- Hard Rock Bet 136.5
- Bally Bet 137.5
- betPARX 137.5
- BetRivers 137.5
- FanDuel 137.5
- Fliff 137.5
- Underdog 139.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- UnderdogMoved from 134.5 to 139.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 135.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 207 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 77 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 164 | over |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 113 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 186 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 113 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 64 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 68 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 58 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 120 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 86 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 264 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 146 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 172 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 28 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 218 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 65 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 87 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 97 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 99 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 104 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 50 | under |