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Jared Goff

DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Completions · 24.5 · median of 9 books ·

48Signal · over 24.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
8 / 10Cleared the number in 8 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • pass attempts: 38.2 a game recently

Expected completions: 25.6 against 24.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 24.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026

Worst miss -6.5
24.52025-12-04 vs DAL: 25, over 24.5 by 0.525DAL2025-12-14 at LA: 25, over 24.5 by 0.525LA2025-12-21 vs PIT: 34, over 24.5 by 9.534PIT2025-12-25 at MIN: 18, under 24.5 by 6.518MIN2026-01-04 at CHI: 27, over 24.5 by 2.527CHI2026-09-13 vs NO: 26, over 24.5 by 1.526NO2026-09-17 at BUF: 26, over 24.5 by 1.526BUF2026-09-27 vs NYJ: 25, over 24.5 by 0.525NYJ2026-10-04 at CAR: 32, over 24.5 by 7.532CAR2026-10-11 at ARI: 19, under 24.5 by 5.519ARI
Each game against 24.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-04DAL25 over+0.5
2025-12-14LA25 over+0.5
2025-12-21PIT34 over+9.5
2025-12-25MIN18 under−6.5
2026-01-04CHI27 over+2.5
2026-09-13NO26 over+1.5
2026-09-17BUF26 over+1.5
2026-09-27NYJ25 over+0.5
2026-10-04CAR32 over+7.5
2026-10-11ARI19 under−5.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 108 / 1080% over+1.2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

9 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the over: 24.5 · best price PX2, BR, HR -120
  • betPARX 24.5 -120 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • BetRivers 24.5 -120 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • Hard Rock Bet 24.5 -120 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • Bally Bet 24.5 -124 (easiest number)
  • DraftKings 24.5 -124 (easiest number)
  • Fanatics 24.5 -125 (easiest number)
  • Fliff 24.5 -125 (easiest number)
  • PrizePicks 24.5 (easiest number)
  • BetMGM 25.5 -105

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 24.5
2026-10-11@ ARI19under
2026-10-04@ CAR32over
2026-09-27vs NYJ25over
2026-09-17@ BUF26over
2026-09-13vs NO26over
2026-01-04@ CHI27over
2025-12-25@ MIN18under
2025-12-21vs PIT34over
2025-12-14@ LA25over
2025-12-04vs DAL25over
2025-11-27vs GB20under
2025-11-23vs NYG28over
2025-11-16@ PHI14under
2025-11-09@ WAS25over
2025-11-02vs MIN25over
2025-10-20vs TB20under
2025-10-12@ KC23under
2025-10-05@ CIN19under
2025-09-28vs CLE16under
2025-09-22@ BAL20under
2025-09-14vs CHI23under
2025-09-07@ GB31over