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Jared Goff
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETPass Attempts · 36.5 · median of 9 books ·
48Signal · over 36.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 38.2 a game recently
Expected pass attempts: 38.2 against 36.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 36.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -7.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 34 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 41 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 54 over | +17.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 29 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 42 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 39 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 38 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 32 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 52 over | +15.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 30 under | −6.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +2.6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
9 books · 1.5 spreadEasiest number for the over: 36
- PrizePicks 36 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 36.5 -109
- Hard Rock Bet 36.5 -110
- Fanatics 36.5 -115
- Fliff 36.5 -115
- BetMGM 36.5 -120
- Underdog 36.5
- betPARX 37.5 -109
- Bally Bet 37.5 -114
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 37.5 to 36
- UnderdogMoved from 37.5 to 36.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 36.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 30 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 52 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 32 | under |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 38 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 39 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 42 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 29 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 54 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 41 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 34 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 26 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 42 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 37 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 33 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 37 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 29 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 29 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 23 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 27 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 28 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 28 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 39 | over |