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Jared Goff
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETPassing Yards · 278.5 · median of 10 books ·
48Signal · over 278.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 38.2 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 297.0 yds against 278.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 278.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -81| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 309 over | +30.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 338 over | +59.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 364 over | +85.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 197 under | −81.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 331 over | +52.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 206 under | −72.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 327 over | +48.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 269 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 412 over | +133.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 271 under | −7.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +24 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 5 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 274.5
- ESPN Bet 274.5 -125 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 277.5 -112
- BetMGM 277.5 -115
- FanDuel 278.5 -114
- Hard Rock Bet 278.5 -115
- PrizePicks 278.5
- Bally Bet 279.5 -114
- betPARX 279.5 -114
- BetRivers 279.5 -115
- Fliff 279.5 -120
Line movement
- ESPN BetMoved from 279.5 to 274.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 279.5 to 277.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 279.5 to 278.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 278.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 271 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 412 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 269 | under |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 327 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 206 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 331 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 197 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 364 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 338 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 309 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 256 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 279 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 255 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 320 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 284 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 241 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 203 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 258 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 168 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 202 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 334 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 225 | under |