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Jaylen Warren
PIT @ NO · Sun 9:30 AM ETRush + Rec Yards · 93.5 at BetMGM · median 94.5 ·
50Signal · over 93.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 14.0 a game recently
- targets: 5.0 a game recently
- vs NO · ×1.01 yds per carry
- vs NO · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 121.3 yds against 93.5 · over 50%, under 50%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 93.5 · Dec 15, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -45| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | MIA | 48 under | −45.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DET | 151 over | +57.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CLE | 64 under | −29.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | BAL | 99 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL | 73 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 77 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CIN | 176 over | +82.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE | 126 over | +32.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | IND | 188 over | +94.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TB | 78 under | −15.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +15 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 1 yds spread
- BetMGM 93.5
- DraftKings 94.5
- Bally Bet 94.5
- betPARX 94.5
- FanDuel 94.5
- BetRivers 94.5
- Hard Rock Bet 94.5
- Fliff 94.5
- PrizePicks 94.5
- Underdog 94.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 95.5 to 94.5
- FanDuelMoved from 97.5 to 94.5
- FliffMoved from 95.5 to 94.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 95.5 to 94.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 95.5 to 94.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 93.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ TB | 78 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs IND | 188 | over |
| 2026-10-01 | @ CLE | 126 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CIN | 176 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 77 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ATL | 73 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs BAL | 99 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CLE | 64 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DET | 151 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | vs MIA | 48 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BAL | 62 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs BUF | 44 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CHI | 68 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CIN | 67 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ LAC | 91 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs IND | 29 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs GB | 73 | under |
| 2025-10-16 | @ CIN | 158 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CLE | 63 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ NE | 81 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SEA | 134 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NYJ | 59 | under |