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Jordan Love
GB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM ETPassing Yards · 279.5 at Fliff · median 277.5 ·
54Signal · under 279.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 37.7 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 280.7 yds against 279.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 279.5 · Nov 27, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -107 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | DET | 234 under | −45.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CHI | 234 under | −45.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DEN | 276 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | CHI | 77 under | −202.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN | 387 over | +107.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NYJ | 145 under | −134.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | ATL | 312 over | +32.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | TB | 197 under | −82.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CHI | 367 over | +87.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | DAL | 276 under | −3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +29 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 279.5
- Fanatics 275.5
- Bally Bet 277.5
- betPARX 277.5
- FanDuel 277.5
- BetMGM 277.5
- BetRivers 277.5
- PrizePicks 277.5
- ESPN Bet 278.5
- Hard Rock Bet 278.5
- DraftKings 279.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 279.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 269.5 to 277.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 277.5 to 278.5
- FliffMoved from 278.5 to 279.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 279.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs DAL | 276 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CHI | 367 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ TB | 197 | under |
| 2026-09-24 | vs ATL | 312 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NYJ | 145 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | 387 | over |
| 2025-12-20 | @ CHI | 77 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DEN | 276 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CHI | 234 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DET | 234 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs MIN | 139 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ NYG | 174 | under |
| 2025-11-10 | vs PHI | 176 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 273 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 360 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 179 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 259 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 337 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 183 | under |
| 2025-09-11 | vs WAS | 292 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 188 | under |