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Josh Jacobs

GB @ NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Carries · 13.5 at betPARX ·

54Signal · under 13.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 13.6 a game recently

Expected carries: 13.6 against 13.5 · over 46%, under 54%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 13.5 · Nov 2, 2025 – Oct 29, 2026

Worst miss -9.5
13.52025-11-02 vs CAR: 17, over 13.5 by 3.517CAR2025-11-10 vs PHI: 21, over 13.5 by 7.521PHI2025-11-16 at NYG: 7, under 13.5 by 6.57NYG2025-11-27 at DET: 17, over 13.5 by 3.517DET2025-12-07 vs CHI: 20, over 13.5 by 6.520CHI2025-12-14 at DEN: 12, under 13.5 by 1.512DEN2025-12-20 at CHI: 12, under 13.5 by 1.512CHI2025-12-27 vs BAL: 4, under 13.5 by 9.54BAL2026-10-25 at DET: 11, under 13.5 by 2.511DET2026-10-29 vs CAR: 21, over 13.5 by 7.521CAR
Each game against 13.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-02CAR17 over+3.5
2025-11-10PHI21 over+7.5
2025-11-16NYG7 under−6.5
2025-11-27DET17 over+3.5
2025-12-07CHI20 over+6.5
2025-12-14DEN12 under−1.5
2025-12-20CHI12 under−1.5
2025-12-27BAL4 under−9.5
2026-10-25DET11 under−2.5
2026-10-29CAR21 over+7.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%+0.7
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

13.57 books, no line disagreementDK · HR · PX2 · FL · BB · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 13.5
2026-10-29vs CAR21over
2026-10-25@ DET11under
2025-12-27vs BAL4under
2025-12-20@ CHI12under
2025-12-14@ DEN12under
2025-12-07vs CHI20over
2025-11-27@ DET17over
2025-11-16@ NYG7under
2025-11-10vs PHI21over
2025-11-02vs CAR17over
2025-10-26@ PIT13under
2025-10-19@ ARI13under
2025-10-12vs CIN18over
2025-09-28@ DAL22over
2025-09-21@ CLE16over
2025-09-11vs WAS23over
2025-09-07vs DET19over