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Josh Jacobs
GB @ NE · Sun 4:25 PM ETRushing Yards · 43.5 at Fliff ·
54Signal · over 43.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 13.6 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 47.1 yds against 43.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 43.5 · Nov 2, 2025 – Oct 29, 2026
Worst miss -40| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | CAR | 87 over | +43.5 |
| 2025-11-10 | PHI | 74 over | +30.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | NYG | 40 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-11-27 | DET | 83 over | +39.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CHI | 86 over | +42.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DEN | 73 over | +29.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | CHI | 36 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | BAL | 3 under | −40.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | DET | 36 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR | 39 under | −4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +12 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
43.58 books, no line disagreementDK · PX2 · FD · HR · BB · FL · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 43.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | vs CAR | 39 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | @ DET | 36 | under |
| 2025-12-27 | vs BAL | 3 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ CHI | 36 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DEN | 73 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CHI | 86 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DET | 83 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ NYG | 40 | under |
| 2025-11-10 | vs PHI | 74 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 87 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 33 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 55 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 93 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 86 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 30 | under |
| 2025-09-11 | vs WAS | 84 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 66 | over |