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Justice Hill
BAL vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 15.5 at PrizePicks ·
49Signal · under 15.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
PrizePicks 15.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 3.0 a game recently
- vs CIN · ×1.08 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 24.0 yds against 15.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 15.5 · Oct 12, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -57 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | LA | 16 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-10-26 | CHI | 2 under | −13.5 |
| 2025-10-30 | MIA | 2 under | −13.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | MIN | 1 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | IND | 18 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NO | 6 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DAL | 33 over | +17.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | TEN | 3 under | −12.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ATL | 73 over | +57.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE | 0 under | −15.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | 0 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
15.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ CLE | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ ATL | 73 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs TEN | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DAL | 33 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs NO | 6 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ IND | 18 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ MIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-30 | @ MIA | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs LA | 16 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs HOU | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ KC | 76 | over |
| 2025-09-22 | vs DET | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CLE | 7 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ BUF | -14 | under |