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Kaelon Black
SF vs LV · Sun 4:05 PM ETCarries · 8.5 · median of 3 books ·
55Signal · under 8.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 7Cleared the number in 2 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 8.1 a game recently
Expected carries: 8.1 against 8.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 8.5 · Sep 10, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -5.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-10 | LA | 14 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIA | 7 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI | 4 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DEN | 6 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | SEA | 6 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-19 | WAS | 8 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | ATL | 12 over | +3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 7 | 71% under | +0.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 71% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
3 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 9.5
- DraftKings 8.5
- Fliff 8.5
- Hard Rock Bet 9.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 8.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ ATL | 12 | over |
| 2026-10-19 | vs WAS | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ SEA | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DEN | 6 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs ARI | 4 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIA | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-10 | @ LA | 14 | over |