Kaelon Black

SF vs LV · Sun 4:05 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 46.5 ·

59Signal · under 46.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance

2 / 7

Underdog 46.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

carries: 8.1 a game recently
targets: 0.9 a game recently
vs LV · ×1.03 yds per carry

Expected rush + rec yards: 35.0 yds against 46.5 · over 41%, under 59%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 46.5 · Sep 10, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -23 on the under

Each game against 46.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
2026-09-10	LA	70 over	+23.5
2026-09-20	MIA	25 under	−21.5
2026-09-27	ARI	17 under	−29.5
2026-10-04	DEN	13 under	−33.5
2026-10-11	SEA	16 under	−30.5
2026-10-19	WAS	37 under	−9.5
2026-10-25	ATL	59 over	+12.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	5 / 7	71% under	+13
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 71% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

46.5Underdog· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 46.5
2026-10-25	@ ATL	59	over
2026-10-19	vs WAS	37	under
2026-10-11	@ SEA	16	under
2026-10-04	vs DEN	13	under
2026-09-27	vs ARI	17	under
2026-09-20	vs MIA	25	under
2026-09-10	@ LA	70	over