← NFL board6 straight over
Kirk Cousins
LV @ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ETPassing Yards · 240.5 at ESPN Bet · median 238.5 ·
49Signal · over 240.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 36.7 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 268.1 yds against 240.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 240.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -114| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | ARI | 197 under | −43.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | LA | 126 under | −114.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NO | 180 under | −60.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA | 160 under | −80.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LAC | 253 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NO | 248 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC | 365 over | +124.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NE | 243 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF | 313 over | +72.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | LA | 295 over | +54.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | -2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 6 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 234.5 · best price BB, PX2 -114
- Bally Bet 234.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- betPARX 234.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetRivers 234.5 -115 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 238.5 -115
- Fliff 238.5 -120
- FanDuel 239.5 -114
- PrizePicks 239.5
- ESPN Bet 240.5 -110
- DraftKings 240.5 -113
- DK Pick6 240.5
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 236.5 to 234.5
- betPARXMoved from 236.5 to 234.5
- BetRiversMoved from 236.5 to 234.5
- FliffMoved from 236.5 to 238.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 237.5 to 238.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 238.5 to 239.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 237.5 to 240.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 240.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs LA | 295 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BUF | 313 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NE | 243 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs KC | 365 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NO | 248 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ LAC | 253 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs MIA | 160 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs NO | 180 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | vs LA | 126 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ ARI | 197 | under |
| 2025-12-11 | @ TB | 373 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs SEA | 162 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ NYJ | 234 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ NO | 199 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CAR | 48 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs MIA | 173 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CAR | 29 | under |