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Konata Mumpfield
LA @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 21.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
51Signal · under 21.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.4 a game recently → 3.7 this game
- WR2 on the depth chart (usually WR4+) · ×1.08 targets
- vs LV · ×1.02 yds per target
- Heavier load · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 28.5 yds against 21.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 21.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -71 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | ARI | 5 under | −16.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DET | 0 under | −21.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA | 40 over | +18.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | ATL | 10 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ARI | 0 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF | 0 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | NYG | 12 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DEN | 93 over | +71.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI | 7 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI | 15 under | −6.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
21.55 books, no line disagreementDK · FD · HR · PK6 · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs ARI | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ PHI | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DEN | 93 | over |
| 2026-09-21 | vs NYG | 12 | under |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SF | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs ARI | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | @ ATL | 10 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | @ SEA | 40 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs DET | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ARI | 5 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs TB | 25 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ JAX | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ BAL | 7 | under |