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Kyren Williams
LA @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM ETRushing Yards · 63.5 at ESPN Bet ·
46Signal · over 63.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 13.3 a game recently
- vs LV · ×1.01 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 65.9 yds against 63.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 63.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -22| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | DET | 78 over | +14.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA | 70 over | +6.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | ATL | 92 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ARI | 60 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF | 41 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | NYG | 85 over | +21.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DEN | 88 over | +24.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI | 80 over | +16.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF | 49 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI | 50 under | −13.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 7 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 60.5
- Fanatics 60.5 -125 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 63.5 -114
- FanDuel 63.5 -114
- betPARX 63.5 -115
- ESPN Bet 63.5 -115
- Hard Rock Bet 63.5 -115
- BetRivers 63.5 -117
- Bally Bet 63.5 -121
- Fliff 64.5 -120
- PrizePicks 65.5
- BetMGM 67.5 -115
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 64.5 to 63.5
- FliffMoved from 63.5 to 64.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 71.5 to 65.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 63.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs ARI | 50 | under |
| 2026-10-12 | vs BUF | 49 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ PHI | 80 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DEN | 88 | over |
| 2026-09-21 | vs NYG | 85 | over |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SF | 41 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs ARI | 60 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | @ ATL | 92 | over |
| 2025-12-18 | @ SEA | 70 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs DET | 78 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ARI | 84 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CAR | 72 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs TB | 46 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SEA | 91 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SF | 73 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs NO | 114 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ JAX | 54 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ BAL | 50 | under |
| 2025-10-02 | vs SF | 65 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs IND | 77 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ PHI | 94 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ TEN | 66 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs HOU | 66 | over |