Michael Penix Jr.

ATL @ TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Interceptions Thrown · 0.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·

61Signal · under 0.590% · 9 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

1 / 10

4 straight under

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 28.8 a game recently

Expected interceptions thrown: 0.2 against 0.5 · over 39%, under 61%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Oct 13, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -0.5 on the under

Each game against 0.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-10-13	BUF	0 under	−0.5
2025-10-19	SF	0 under	−0.5
2025-11-02	NE	0 under	−0.5
2025-11-09	IND	0 under	−0.5
2025-11-16	CAR	0 under	−0.5
2026-09-24	GB	1 over	+0.5
2026-10-05	NO	0 under	−0.5
2026-10-11	BAL	0 under	−0.5
2026-10-18	CHI	0 under	−0.5
2026-10-25	SF	0 under	−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	9 / 10	90% under	+0.4
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 90% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

0.59 books, no line disagreementMGM · BB · PX2 · BR · DK · ESPN · HR · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 0.5
2026-10-25	vs SF	0	under
2026-10-18	vs CHI	0	under
2026-10-11	vs BAL	0	under
2026-10-05	@ NO	0	under
2026-09-24	@ GB	1	over
2025-11-16	vs CAR	0	under
2025-11-09	@ IND	0	under
2025-11-02	@ NE	0	under
2025-10-19	@ SF	0	under
2025-10-13	vs BUF	0	under
2025-09-28	vs WAS	1	over
2025-09-21	@ CAR	2	over
2025-09-14	@ MIN	0	under
2025-09-07	vs TB	0	under