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Puka Nacua
LA @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 96.5 at Hard Rock Bet · median 97.5 ·
54Signal · under 96.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 13.0 a game recently
- vs LV · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 106.8 yds against 96.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 96.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -49| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | CAR | 72 under | −24.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | ARI | 167 over | +70.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DET | 181 over | +84.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA | 225 over | +128.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | ATL | 47 under | −49.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ARI | 76 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF | 74 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI | 125 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF | 138 over | +41.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI | 80 under | −16.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +22 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 3 yds spread
- FanDuel 96.5
- Hard Rock Bet 96.5
- Fliff 96.5
- PrizePicks 96.5
- DraftKings 97.5
- BetMGM 97.5
- ESPN Bet 99.5
- betPARX 99.5
- BetRivers 99.5
- Bally Bet 99.5
Line movement
- FanDuelMoved from 94.5 to 96.5
- FliffMoved from 94.5 to 96.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 94.5 to 96.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 94.5 to 97.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 96.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs ARI | 80 | under |
| 2026-10-12 | vs BUF | 138 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ PHI | 125 | over |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SF | 74 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs ARI | 76 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | @ ATL | 47 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | @ SEA | 225 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs DET | 181 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ARI | 167 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CAR | 72 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs TB | 97 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SEA | 75 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SF | 64 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs NO | 95 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ BAL | 28 | under |
| 2025-10-02 | vs SF | 85 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs IND | 170 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ PHI | 112 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ TEN | 91 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs HOU | 130 | over |