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Rome Odunze

CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ET

Receptions · 3.5 at Bally Bet ·

55Signal · under 3.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 5.5 a game recently

Expected receptions: 3.3 against 3.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 3.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -2.5 on the under
3.52025-11-09 vs NYG: 6, over 3.5 by 2.56NYG2025-11-16 at MIN: 2, under 3.5 by 1.52MIN2025-11-23 vs PIT: 3, under 3.5 by 0.53PIT2025-11-28 at PHI: 2, under 3.5 by 1.52PHI2026-09-13 at CAR: 2, under 3.5 by 1.52CAR2026-09-20 vs MIN: 3, under 3.5 by 0.53MIN2026-09-28 vs PHI: 3, under 3.5 by 0.53PHI2026-10-04 vs NYJ: 6, over 3.5 by 2.56NYJ2026-10-11 at GB: 3, under 3.5 by 0.53GB2026-10-18 at ATL: 3, under 3.5 by 0.53ATL
Each game against 3.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-09NYG6 over+2.5
2025-11-16MIN2 under−1.5
2025-11-23PIT3 under−0.5
2025-11-28PHI2 under−1.5
2026-09-13CAR2 under−1.5
2026-09-20MIN3 under−0.5
2026-09-28PHI3 under−0.5
2026-10-04NYJ6 over+2.5
2026-10-11GB3 under−0.5
2026-10-18ATL3 under−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 108 / 1080% under+0.2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

3.59 books, no line disagreementESPN · FD · HR · DK · FL · PX2 · BR · BB · MGM

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 3.5
2026-10-18@ ATL3under
2026-10-11@ GB3under
2026-10-04vs NYJ6over
2026-09-28vs PHI3under
2026-09-20vs MIN3under
2026-09-13@ CAR2under
2025-11-28@ PHI2under
2025-11-23vs PIT3under
2025-11-16@ MIN2under
2025-11-09vs NYG6over
2025-11-02@ CIN0under
2025-10-26@ BAL7over
2025-10-19vs NO2under
2025-10-13@ WAS2under
2025-09-28@ LV4over
2025-09-21vs DAL3under
2025-09-14@ DET7over
2025-09-08vs MIN6over