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Rome Odunze
CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ETReceptions · 3.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
55Signal · under 3.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.5 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.3 against 3.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | NYG | 6 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | PIT | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-11-28 | PHI | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | PHI | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ | 6 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | GB | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ATL | 3 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.59 books, no line disagreementESPN · FD · HR · DK · FL · PX2 · BR · BB · MGM
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ ATL | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ GB | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NYJ | 6 | over |
| 2026-09-28 | vs PHI | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CAR | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-28 | @ PHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PIT | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ MIN | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NYG | 6 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ CIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ BAL | 7 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NO | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | @ WAS | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ LV | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DAL | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DET | 7 | over |
| 2025-09-08 | vs MIN | 6 | over |