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Tory Horton
SEA @ LV · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceiving Yards · 7.5 at Underdog ·
56Signal · over 7.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.2 a game recently
- vs LV · ×1.04 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 20.0 yds against 7.5 · over 56%, under 44%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 7.5 · Oct 5, 2025 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -7| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | TB | 39 over | +31.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | JAX | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-10-20 | HOU | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-11-02 | WAS | 48 over | +40.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | WAS | 48 over | +40.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LAC | 6 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | DEN | 13 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | KC | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-11-02 | CHI | 26 over | +18.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI | 22 over | +14.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +13 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
7 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 5.5
- Dabble 5.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 7.5 -114
- Hard Rock Bet 7.5 -115
- DraftKings 7.5 -116
- Fliff 7.5 -120
- PrizePicks 7.5
- Underdog 7.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs ARI | 22 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs CHI | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs KC | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-15 | @ DEN | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs LAC | 6 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ WAS | 48 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ WAS | 48 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | vs HOU | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ JAX | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TB | 39 | over |
| 2025-09-25 | @ ARI | 10 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 32 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ PIT | 32 | over |