← NFL board5 straight over
Tre Tucker
LV vs LA · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceptions · 3.5 at FanDuel ·
48Signal · over 3.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.8 a game recently
Expected receptions: 4.0 against 3.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -3.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | PHI | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | HOU | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYG | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | KC | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LAC | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NO | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NE | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF | 5 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | 0 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
3.59 books, no line disagreementPX2 · BR · BB · DK · ESPN · HR · FD · MGM · FL· best price at 3.5: PX2 +116
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs BUF | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NE | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs KC | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NO | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ LAC | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs MIA | 2 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs KC | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NYG | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ HOU | 4 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ PHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs DEN | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ LAC | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs CLE | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-17 | vs DAL | 4 | over |
| 2025-11-06 | @ DEN | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs JAX | 3 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ KC | 5 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs TEN | 5 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ IND | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ WAS | 8 | over |
| 2025-09-15 | vs LAC | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NE | 2 | under |