← NFL board
Aaron Rodgers
PIT @ NO · Sun 9:30 AM ETRushing Yards · 0.5 · median of 6 books ·
64Signal · over 0.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 1.5 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 2.8 yds against 0.5 · over 64%, under 36%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Dec 15, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -3| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | MIA | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DET | 9 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CLE | 6 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | BAL | 20 over | +19.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL | -3 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 5 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CIN | 10 over | +9.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | IND | 6 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TB | -1 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
6 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 0.5 · best price FD -108
- FanDuel 0.5 -108 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- Hard Rock Bet 0.5 -115 (easiest number)
- ESPN Bet 0.5 -135 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 0.5 (easiest number)
- Underdog 0.5 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 1.5 -110
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ TB | -1 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs IND | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-01 | @ CLE | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CIN | 10 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ATL | -3 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs BAL | 20 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CLE | 6 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DET | 9 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | vs MIA | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BAL | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CIN | 8 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ LAC | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs IND | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-16 | @ CIN | 6 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CLE | 1 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs MIN | 8 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ NE | 1 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SEA | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NYJ | -1 | under |