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Austin Ekeler

WAS vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 5.5 at PrizePicks ·

100%over3 / 3 · last 10
3 / 3Cleared the number in 3 of 3 games, 7 without a result
3 straight over
  • Stefon Diggs WR is listed Out (hamstring). He had 24% of WAS's targets this season, 7.8 a game over 4.

The game history below does not account for this absence.

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 2.8 a game recently

Expected receiving yards: 15.0 yds against 5.5

No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 1 this season.

Last 10 games against 5.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026

Tightest clearance +2
5.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-09-07 vs NYG: 31, over 5.5 by 25.5 yds31NYG2025-09-11 at GB: 7, over 5.5 by 1.5 yds7GB2026-10-04 vs IND: 11, over 5.5 by 5.5 yds11IND
Each game against 5.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-09-07NYG31 over+25.5
2025-09-11GB7 over+1.5
2026-10-04IND11 over+5.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 103 / 3100% over+11
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

5.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 5.5
2026-10-04vs IND11over
2025-09-11@ GB7over
2025-09-07vs NYG31over