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Carson Wentz
MIN vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ETPassing Yards · 207.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
55Signal · under 207.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 7Cleared the number in 3 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 27.4 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 196.4 yds against 207.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 207.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026
Worst miss -142 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-21 | CIN | 173 under | −34.5 |
| 2025-09-28 | PIT | 350 over | +142.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | CLE | 236 over | +28.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | PHI | 313 over | +105.5 |
| 2025-10-23 | LAC | 144 under | −63.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | GB | 133 under | −74.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI | 143 under | −64.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 7 | 57% under | -6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 57% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 7 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 212.5
- Fliff 205.5
- Bally Bet 207.5
- betPARX 207.5
- BetRivers 207.5
- FanDuel 207.5
- Hard Rock Bet 207.5
- PrizePicks 207.5
- Underdog 207.5
- DraftKings 208.5
- ESPN Bet 209.5
- BetMGM 212.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 207.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | @ CHI | 143 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs GB | 133 | under |
| 2025-10-23 | @ LAC | 144 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs PHI | 313 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CLE | 236 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ PIT | 350 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs CIN | 173 | under |