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Chris Godwin Jr.
TB @ CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 41.5 at ESPN Bet ·
57Signal · under 41.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.8 a game recently
Expected receiving yards: 36.0 yds against 41.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 41.5 · Dec 11, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -66 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | ATL | 20 under | −21.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR | 30 under | −11.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | MIA | 108 over | +66.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR | 8 under | −33.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CIN | 40 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE | 46 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN | 25 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | GB | 31 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | DAL | 37 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PIT | 37 under | −4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
9 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 42.5
- betPARX 41.5
- BetRivers 41.5
- Bally Bet 41.5
- ESPN Bet 41.5
- Fliff 41.5
- DraftKings 42.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 42.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 42.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 42.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 41.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs PIT | 37 | under |
| 2026-10-08 | @ DAL | 37 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs GB | 31 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs MIN | 25 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CLE | 46 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CIN | 40 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | vs CAR | 8 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ MIA | 108 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ CAR | 30 | under |
| 2025-12-11 | vs ATL | 20 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs NO | 55 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs ARI | 78 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LA | 9 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ SEA | 26 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs PHI | 26 | under |